Economy
Conflicting forces are dominating the UK labor market. Data released on Tuesday revealed that the unemployment rate ticked up from 3.6% to 3.7% in the three months to October (the second consecutive increase), providing some evidence of cooling employment…
The ZEW survey of investor sentiment sent an upbeat signal about economic conditions in both Germany and the Eurozone in December. The headline index for Germany rebounded by 13.4 points to -23.3 while the Eurozone measure jumped 15.1 points to -23.6. Both…
Heading into 2023, BCA Research’s European Investment Strategy service recommends fixed-income investors overweight Euro Area IG relative to both government bonds and US credit, while adopting a more cautious stance toward high-yield. European corporate…
Chinese credit rebounded in November, after plunging in the preceding month. New loans expanded by CNY 1.2 trillion, double October’s levels. Similarly, aggregate financing – a broad measure of credit and liquidity – increased by CNY 2.0 trillion following…
Preliminary results from the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey suggest that American household morale firmed in December. The headline index climbed 2.3 points following November’s decline to 56.8. Importantly, consumers’ assessment of current…
On aggregate, US firms experienced a sharp increase in pricing power following the initial shock of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, this trend has since reversed, and companies’ pricing power is fading. The darkening economic backdrop ultimately limits firms’…
Our recommendations for podcasts (on macro and markets, as well as non-work-related topics) to try over the holidays.
Following the release of the Bank Credit Analyst’s annual outlook, we unveil our key views for 2023. The investment strategy takeaway is that we want to lean into risk in the early part of the year but reduce exposure to it in the second half.
We explore the eight major themes that will define economic and market trends for Europe next year.
The US producer price index (PPI) release was hotter-than-anticipated in November. Headline PPI for final demand was unchanged at 0.3% m/m, beating expectations of 0.2% m/m. Moreover, the core measure accelerated to 0.4% m/m from an upwardly revised 0.1% m/m,…