Latest from BCA Research
Equities, bonds and commodities are becoming suddenly, unusually, and dangerously correlated. But it cannot last.
The volte-face being attempted by OPEC and non-OPEC producers in an attempt to keep oil prices above a pure-competition market-clearing level arises from the dire financial circumstances key states in both camps find themselves. Now begins the arduous process of determining just how much the Gulf Arab states within OPEC, led by the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA); and non-OPEC states, chiefly Russia, can cut oil production without giving shale-oil producers in the U.S. a huge windfall.
Keeping home price gains in check has once again become a top priority for the Chinese authorities, which casts fresh uncertainty on both China's macro policy and growth outlook. Tactically downgrade H shares and expect near term volatility to rise. Strategically, we continue to expect Chinese equities to be positively re-rated against their global peers.
