The ‘Sahm Rule’ Recession Trigger Is Good, But The ‘Joshi Rule’ Is Better
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We unveil the ‘Joshi rule’ real-time recession indicator as a much better version of the Federal Reserve’s own ‘Sahm rule’. And we identify what would trigger these recession indicators in this week’s and future US jobs reports. Plus: airlines, soybeans, and tin are all good rebound candidates based on their collapsed short-term complexities.
Investigación BCA | CoreMacro
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