Risks To Our Negative EM View
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The breakout in the S&P 500 could boost flows to EM, and momentum could overwhelm fundamentals for several weeks. Nevertheless, U.S. interest rate expectations will rise and it, along with weak EM profits, will cap upside in EM risk assets. Take profits on our short EM stocks/long 30-year U.S. Treasurys position. Reduce short exposure to EM currencies by closing the currency trades where the long side is partially against the yen.
Investigación BCA | CoreMacro
BCA’s flagship global macro and investment strategy platform, helping investors anticipate regime shifts, connect signals across regions and asset classes, and navigate the world’s most difficult macro questions.
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