Monthly TAA Report: Thin Is Back In! How Budgets, Growth, And Valuations Will Be Leaner Than Expected In 2025
The post-COVID recovery has been one of excesses. Government deficits have ballooned, tight labor markets have led to a windfall of consumer spending, and equity valuations have soared on the back of lofty growth expectations. But these excesses will no longer be sustainable in 2025. Our theme for next year is Thin Is Back In. Government budgets, economic growth, and equity valuations will be leaner than investors expect. We discuss this the reasoning behind this macro view and the asset allocation implications that follow from it.
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Public-private allocation guidance, capital market assumptions, and strategic insight to help investors build forward-looking portfolios they can act on and defend.
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