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Global Perspective On Currencies: A PCA Approach For The FX Market

by Mathieu Savary, Head of FICC  

We extracted the key factors driving currency returns; these variables approximate the dollar, EM spreads, and commodities. Any currency's sensitivity to these factors can be estimated, offering a great degree of flexibility for investors to generate trade ideas. Based on our macro views, this approach recommends being short commodity currencies and being long the dollar. The BoJ, BoE, and Riksbank are also covered.

BCAリサーチ | Foreign Exchange Strategy

One macro framework for rates, FX, credit, and commodities, helping investors connect cross-market signals and position with clarity and conviction.

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