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Strategy Outlook

Fourth Quarter 2024 Strategy Outlook: Soft Landing Or Quicksand?

by Peter Berezin, Chief Economist & Head of CoreMacro  

After resisting the consensus narrative in 2022 that a US recession was imminent, and then predicting an immaculate disinflation for 2023, the Global Investment Strategy team has joined the dark side and is now expecting a recession to start in the US within the next six months. Accordingly, we recommend that investors underweight stocks and overweight government bonds.

BCAリサーチ | Global Investment Strategy

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