Strategy Report
EM Local Bonds: To Buy Or Not To Buy?
Beyond the ongoing short-term rebound, EM currencies have more downside, and will depreciate by more than is implied by their forward rates on a 6-9 month horizon. This makes us reluctant to recommend buying local currency bonds to absolute-return investors. A new trade: Long Russian/short Malaysian equities. We also reiterate our short MYR/long RUB trade.
BCAリサーチ | Emerging Markets Strategy
BCA’s flagship global macro and investment strategy platform, helping investors anticipate regime shifts, connect signals across regions and asset classes, and navigate the world’s most difficult macro questions.
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