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Climate Change Raises Ag Output Uncertainty

by Ashwin Shyam, Strategist  

Global ag markets will become more volatile as anthropogenically induced climate change continues to degrade farmland. This will make price signals emanating from these markets less efficient in terms of processing supply-demand fundamentals. All else equal, food prices likely move higher, which will contribute to inflationary biases in the medium-to-long run. Investors will continue to seek out farmland investments as a way to diversify portfolio risk and raise absolute returns.

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