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CoreMacro Strategy Report

A Chinese Deflationary Tsunami Is Headed For Europe

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The textbook impact of the world’s largest goods importer, the US, imposing an ultra-high tariff on the world’s largest goods exporter, China, is for global goods prices to FALL. Thereby, while Trump’s tariffs will be inflationary for the US they will be DEFLATIONARY for Europe. We go through the implications for rates, bonds, stocks, and FX. Plus: tactically underweight global utilities (JXI); and tactically buy TGT.

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BCA’s flagship global macro and investment strategy platform, helping investors anticipate regime shifts, connect signals across regions and asset classes, and navigate the world’s most difficult macro questions.

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