Arthur Budaghyan

Chief Strategist

Arthur is currently BCA Research’s Chief Strategist, Emerging Markets Strategy. Since joining BCA Research in 1999, he has been responsible for EM trading strategies and became the Chief Strategist of the Emerging Markets Strategy in 2005. Prior to BCA Research, Arthur worked for a regulatory government agency in Armenia supervising financial markets. Arthur has an MBA from America University of Armenia, a Masters in Economic Policy Management from McGill University, and is a CFA charter holder.

Emerging Markets Strategy

BCA’s Emerging Markets Strategy helps investors understand the EM landscape by merging global research with country specific insights, benefiting both global asset allocators, and dedicated EM portfolios.

Challenge your investment conviction with insights from Emerging Markets Strategy

Emerging Market Strategy

Emerging Markets Strategy

Does EM always outperform in the long run?

March 14 2019

None of the individual EM bourses has outperformed DM on a consistent basis over the past 40 years. EM share performance has exhibited long-term cycles of around seven to 10 years. Getting these cycles right is instrumental to successful investing. EM investing is primarily about exchange rates. We also publish analysis on South Africa’s public debt sustainability.

Emerging Markets Strategy

EMS EM Equity Valuations Part I

January 24 2018

After the significant share price run up, the question for investors is whether EM equities are still cheap or have become overvalued.

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Arthur Budaghyan in the news

Bloomberg

This U.S. Stocks Melt-Up Rests on Faith in Low Rates

December 20 2019

BCA Research Inc.’s veteran emerging markets strategist Arthur Budaghyan has been (correctly) bearish ever since 2010, but this week announced that he was recommending going long…However, he is still arguing on fundamental grounds that emerging markets will underperform the U.S. and developed markets

Bloomberg

Safest Bond in Latin America Suddenly Looks Lot Less Stable

November 08 2019

“Chilean markets, the economy, social-political system are undergoing regime shift,” said Arthur Budaghyan, the chief emerging-market strategist at BCA Research Inc. in Montreal.

The Wall Street Journal

U.S. Manufacturing Is Stabilizing, but Concerns over Business Investment Linger

October 23 2019

India's fuel demand has been deteriorating.

Politico

New tariffs hit

September 03 2019

BCA Research's Arthur Budaghyan in the FT: “While China's excessive debt isn't news, investors must wake up to the reality of 'helicopter money' — enormous ...

Financial Times

China’s ‘helicopter money’ is blowing up a bubble

August 30 2019

The escalation of the trade conflict between the US and China has raised the likelihood of greater stimulus by Beijing to prop up the economy. While China’s excessive debt isn’t news, investors must wake up to the reality of “helicopter money” — enormous money creation by Chinese banks “out of thin air”.

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